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Why Critical Decision Processes Must Not Use Random Variables

August 8, 2011

From this glossary we have the following.

A random variable is a function that associates a unique numerical value with every outcome of an experiment. The value of the random variable will vary from trial to trial as the experiment is repeated.

So, what if there is only one trial? We call a trial a Critical Trial if, and only if, it happens only once. It is Purely Hypothetical if it never happens and Repeatable if it can happen more than once. Now, Life itself, as a whole, only happens once. Furthermore, Life cannot be reduced to repeatable ‘sublifes’: the period of repetition in common would be infinite. Thus, Life and hence living beings cannot be properly dealt with by maths that assumes that trials can happen more than once, and statistics is effectively founded on this assumption. Statistics is perfect for quantum mechanics, where sending an electron through a slit ten times can be reasonably be assumed to be the same experiment repeated ten times, but this fails totally once you have a system whose complexity approaches that of Life. Thus, do not rely on statistics for Life decisions, do to so is gambling, and is foolish.


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